Report on the Survey and the Forecast of Investment Prospect of Hydropower Industry in China during 2007 and 2008

　　In 2006, the gross generated energy in China has reached 2755.7 billion KWH, which has increased by 13.67% as compared with 2005, while the generated energy of hydropower has reached 378.3 billion KWH, which has increased by 3.50% as compared with the same period last year. The proportion of hydropower in the gross generated energy was 13.7% in 2006, which has dropped by 1.5% than 2005. The pace of construction of hydropower station is evidently behind with the average progress of power construction all over the country. The total amount of new generating sets put into service in 2006 was 101,170 MW, which has exceeded the generally prospected amount of 90,000 MW. The gross installed generating capacity at the end of 2006 has reached 622,000 MW that has increased by 20.3% as compared with the same period of last year, which has hit an all-time high in the annual growth. As for the composition of power source, the percentage of thermal power was 77.8 % that has increased by 2.1 percentage points； the percentage of hydropower was 20.7 %, which has dropped by 2.0 percentage points, and this was the result of pursuing the improvement of supply capability steadily and fast in a short time under the condition of electric power shortage. The average exploitation level of hydropower in developed countries is above 60%. Among the countries, the percentage of exploited hydroelectric resource is about 82% in the USA, 84% in Japan and 65% in Canada. Comparing with these countries, the hydroelectric development in our country is still at a comparatively low level, and still has great development potential.

　　At present, the installed generation capacity of hydropower all over the world is about 800 million KW, which meets 20% of the global electricity requirement. The development and utilization of hydro energy resource has made significant contributions for the human civilization and social progress. China is relatively rich in Hydro energy resource, of which the installed generation capacity available for exploitation exceeds 400 million KW, and the annual energy output is more than 1700 billion KWH, so hydro energy resource is an important energy resource in China. The potential hydropower resource in our country comes first in the world. In accordance with the re-check result of hydropower resource in 2003, the amount of rivers of which the potential hydro energy is above 1,000 KW was 33,886 in our country （mainland）. The theoretical potential hydropower resource was 6080 billion KWH of annual quantity of electricity with an average power of 694 million KW, which makes up about 1/6 of the quantity of electricity all over the world. The 542 million KW of technical development capacity available has made up 78.1% of the average power, and the 2470 billion KWH of annual energy output has made up 40.6 % of theoretical potential quantity of electricity. Therefore, the development of hydropower industry in our country has a great geographical advantage.

　　Emphasize on the exploitation of resources in the west part of China. According to the relevant information， the amount of hydropower resource available for development and utilization in our country can reach 37.8 billion KW， which come first in the world. Southwest China is very rich in hydropower resource， and 68% of the total amount of hydropower resource available for exploitation concentrates in this region， of which the ratio of resource developed and used is less than 10% now. The exploitation of hydropower resource in the southwest may promote the development of the relevant industries of communication， cement， steel product， electromechanical etc. The positive and steady implementation of the plan of "；Transport the Electricity from the West to the East"； may optimize the power utilization structure in the East and improve the regional ecological environment， while offering the electricity required by the development of the East.

　　In accordance with the preliminary planning， by the year of 2020， the amount of installed generation capacity of hydropower all over the country will reach 270 million KW， which accounts for 29% of the installed gross capacity of electric power， and the hydroelectric development level will reach 68%. The the direct benefit of power generation is equivalent to the saving of 420 million ton of standard coal equivalent. The reduction is 1.17 billion ton of CO2， 7.5 million ton of sulfur dioxide and other kinds of harmful gas. It will play an important role in the reduction of global air pollution and greenhouse effect and makes great environmental benefit. Hydropower construction may also take account of the comprehensive benefit of flood prevention， irrigation and transportation etc， and at the same time， it also will make the social benefit of the promotion of economic growth and social development， and the poverty alleviation. Therefore， the hydropower industry has a great long-term potential and is favored by lots of investment institutions.

　　Chapter 1 Situation of China Hydropower Resources

　　Section 1 General Situation of China Hydro-energy Resources

　　I. Reserves and Distribution of China’s Hydro-energy resources

　　II. Characteristics of China’s Hydro-energy resources

　　Section 2 Utilization Status of China’s Hydro-energy Resources

　　I. General Application

　　II. Twelve Hydropower Bases

　　III. Hot spot Area Analysis on Current China’s Hydropower

　　Resources Development

　　IV. The principal problems

　　Chapter 2 Hydro-energy Resources and Application of China’s Main Rivers

　　Section 1 Changjiang River Basin

　　I. General Situation

　　II. Analysis on upper hydro-energy resource and development

　　III. Analysis on middle hydro-energy resource and development

　　Section 2 Rivers in Southwest

　　I. Analysis on hydro-energy resource and utilization of Nujiang River

　　II. Analysis on Hydro-energy Resource and Utilization Lancangjiang River

　　III. Analysis on hydro-energy resource and utilization of Dulong River

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　　IV. Analysis on hydro-energy resource and utilization of Yarlung Zangbo River

　　Section 3 Yellow River Basin

　　I. General Situation

　　II. Analysis on hydro-energy resource and development of Yellow River upstream

　　III. Main Problems and Measure during the development of

　　hydro-power in the upstream of Yellow River

　　IV. Analysis on hydro-energy resource and development of

　　middle stream of Yellow River

　　V. Hydropower Development Plan of Yellow River upper and middle stream

　　VI. Forecast of Develoment of Yellow River Hydropower

　　Section 4 Pearl River Basin

　　I. General Situation

　　II. Analysis on hydro-energy resource and development of

　　main branches of Pearl River

　　III. Hydropower Development Plan

　　Section 5 Rivers along Southeast Coast

　　I. General Situation

　　II. Analysis on hydro-energy resource and development of Main Branches

　　Section 6 Development and Utilization of Hailuan River Hydro-energy Resources

　　Section 7 Development and Utilization of Huai River Basin Hydro-energy Resources

　　Section 8 Rivers in Northeast China

　　is on hydropower resource and development of Heilongjiang river system

　　II. Analysis on hydropower resource and development of Tumen River system

　　III. Analysis on hydropower resource and development of Yalu river system

　　IV. Analysis on hydropower resource and development of Liaohe river system

　　Chapter 3 Status and Trend of Global Hydropower Industry

　　Section 1 Distribution and Utilization of Global Hydropower Resources

　　I. General Development

　　II. Europe

　　III. North America

　　IV. Asia

　　Section 2 Analysis on Global Hydropower Development

　　Section 3 Successful Experience and Revelation of Gloabal Hydropower Industry

　　Section 4 Main Problems in the Development of Global Hydropower Industry

　　Section 5 Forecast of Development Trend of Global Hydropower Industry

　　Chapter 4 Analysis on Development Environment of China’s Hydropower

　　Industry during 2007-

　　Section 1 Influence of Power Industry Policy on its Development

　　I. Development Plan of Power Industry during the period of ”Eleventh Five-year Plan”

　　II. Analysis on the development of hydropower industry affected by

　　“Transport the Electricity from the West to the East” strategy

　　III. Analysis on financing and investment in hydropower industry.

　　IV. Analysis on Tax policy of hydropower Industry

　　V. Change of foreign investment policy on hydropower in post-WTO

　　VI. Forecast on key development areas and restructure of hydropower

　　Section 2 Influence of Environment Protection Policy on the

Report on the Survey and the Forecast of Investment Prospect of Hydropower Industry in China during 2007 and 2008

　　Development of Hydropower Industry

　　I. Influence of United Nations Framework Convention on Climate

　　Change on the hydropower development

　　II. The influence of Law of Environmental Impact Assessment on

　　hydropower development in our country

　　III. The influence of Environmental Protection Act of Construction

　　Item to Hydropower development

　　Section 3 Influence of River Water on the Development of Hydropower

　　Power Industry

　　I. The Analysis on the stability of hydrologic records of main rivers in China

　　II. Main ways to maintain the stability of hydropower water supply

　　Chapter 5 Analysis and Research on Policies and System Refomr of

　　Hydropower Industry

　　Section 1 Relevant Industry Policy for the Development of Hydropower

　　I. Transmission from active development to orderly development

　　II. Analysis on the draft plan of China's power during the

　　period of "Eleventh Five-year Plan"

　　III. " Notice on accelerating the restructuring of the electric

　　power industry， promote the healthy and orderly development”

　　IV. Implementation of "renewable energy Law”

　　V. Power planning throughout China

　　Section 2 Analysis on Electric Power System Reform

　　I. System reform policy of China's electric power

　　II. Electric power system reform of foreign countries as reference

　　Section 3 Outlook of China's Hydropower Industry-Related Policy duiring 2007-

　　Chapter 6 Analysis on the Overall Operation of China's Hydropower Industry in

　　Section 1 Analysis on Overall China's Hydropower Industry

　　Section 2 Status of Hydropower in China’s Energy System

　　Section 3 Characteristics of China's Hydropower Industry

　　I. Big investment， long period of construction

　　II. Long-term benefits， and the short-term poor benefits， slow recovery of funds

　　III. Natural and seasonal influence

　　IV. Uneven distribution of water and electricity， more in the west， less in the east

　　Section 4 Main Problems of China's Hydropower Industry

　　I. Slow process of hydropower industry

　　II. Grid construction is lagging behind， restricting the

　　development of domestic hydroelectric industries

　　III. The formation of price control mechanism restricts

　　development of hydropower industry

　　Chapter 7 Analysis on Production Ability of China’s

　　Hydropower Industry during 2007-

　　Section 1 Analysis on Production of Hydropower Industry in

　　Section 2 Analysis on Installed Capacity of China’s

Report on the Survey and the Forecast of Investment Prospect of Hydropower Industry in China during 2007 and 2008

　　Hydropower Changes during 2007-

　　Section 3 Analysis on the Changes of China Hydropower

　　Generation during 2007-

　　Section 4 Analysis on Hydropower Production during 2007-

　　I. Index of General Economic Operation

　　II. Analysis on Hydropower Production in Different Area

　　III. Analysis on different ownership enterprises

　　IV. Annalysis on enterprises with different scale

　　Section 5 Main Problems in Hydropower Generation in China

　　Chapter 8 Forecast and Analysis on Supply and Demand in China’s

　　Hydropower Market during 2007-

　　Section 1 Forecast and Analysis on Market Demand in China’s Hydropower

　　Market during 2007-

　　I. Analysis on development trend of power consumption

　　II. Analysis on China’s power demand

　　Section 2 Forecast and Analysis on Non-water Electric Power in China during 2007-

　　I. Analysis on thermal power supply

　　II. Analysis on nuclear power supply

　　III. Analysis and Forecast of Wind Power Supply

　　IV. Analysis and Forecast of Gas power supply

　　V. Analysis on thermal power， nuclear power， wind power and gas power

　　generation projects

　　VI. Analysis on supply and demand of Non-hydropower

　　Section 3 Forecasts of China's Demand for Hydropower Market during 2007-

　　Chapter 9 Analysis on Sales Channel and Marketing Modes of China's

　　Hydropower during 2007-

　　Section 1 Analysis on Sales Channels of Current Hydropower

　　Section 2 Comparative Analysis on Advantages and Disadvantages of Major

　　Client’s Direct Electricity and Bidding

　　Section 3 Relations between Differentiated Pricing and Bidding

　　I. Grid price difference between Hydropower and thermal power

　　II. Price difference among the hydro-electricity in different regions

　　Section 4 Analysis on Trading Patterns of Different Types of Hydropower

　　ower station with Comprehensive Utilization mainly and balance generating

　　II. Stations integrating power generation， flood control， shipping

　　III. Runoff - Hydropower Station

　　IV. Hydropower stations with regulatory functions over the quarter

　　V. Cascade Hydropower

　　Section 5 Analysis on Diversification Trend of Hydropower Sales

　　Section 6 Discussion on the Hydropower onto-grid Discrimination

　　of private Grid utilities and foreign enterprises

　　II. China's hydropower Grid policies

　　III. The main problems of Chinese private and foreign investment

　　in hydropower Grid

　　IV. Whether discrimination exists in Grid

report on the survey and the forecast of investment prospect of hydropower industry in china during 2007 and 2008

　　Chapter 10 Analysis on China’s Hydropower onto-grid Price

　　Competition during 2007-

　　Section 1 Analysis on China’s Electricity Price reform

　　Section 2 Analysis on China's Power Bidding Status

　　Section 3 Comparision of Costs among Main Power Sources in China

　　I. Cost of Thermal Power

　　II. Generation Cost of Hydropower

　　III. Generation Cost of Nuclear Power

　　IV. Generation Cost of Wind Power

　　V. Generation Cost of Solar Power

　　Section 4 Competitive Advantage of China's Hydropower Onto-grid Prices

　　Section 5 Development Trend of China's Hydropower Bidding

　　Chapter 11 Forecast of China’s Hydropower Equipment Industry during 2007-

　　Section 1 Analysis on Hydropower Equipment Market

　　I. Analysis on electrical equipment production growth

　　II. Production of power generating equipment

　　Section 2 Development Opportunities of Hydropower Equipment Market

　　I. Forecast of Demand for Generating Equipment at home and abroad

　　II. Grid planning

　　Section 3 Forecast and Trend of Hydropower Equipment Industry

　　Chapter 12 Analysis on China Constructing and Planning Hydropower

　　Projects Scale during 2007-

　　Section 1 Scale of China's Hydropower

　　Section 2 Proposed Scale of China's Hydropower during 2007-

　　Section 3 Analysis on Installed Capacity of China’s Hydropower during2007-

　　Chapter 13 Forecast and Analysis on the Competition in China's Hydropower

　　Industry during 2007-

　　Section 1 Overall Pattern of Competition among China Hydropower Industry

　　I. Original "five power companies" further strengthen hydropower

　　II. Huge State-owned Enterprises have brought an enormous amount of

　　money into the electricity

　　III. Central Electricity Generation’s merger with local hydropower

　　enterprises have become the trend

　　IV. Hydropower Development accelerates

　　Section 2 Analysis on Competitive Groups in China’s Hydropower Industry

　　I. Classification of Competitive Groups in China’s Hydropower Industry

　　II. SWOT

　　Section 3 Forecast of Competition in China's Hydropower Industry

　　I. Inevitable inter-regional expansion of large enterprises generating

　　-cost advantages of hydropower is gradually emerging

　　IV. SHP investment prospect

　　V. Foreign and private capital enter the hydropower sector investment

　　VI. Integrated energy companies will become the trend within the

　　next decade

　　Chapter 14 Analysis on Regional Development of China's Hydropower

2007年と2008年の間に調査中国における水力発電産業の投資展望の予測に関する報告書

　　Industry during 2007-

　　Section 1 Analysis on Sichuan Hydropower Development

　　I. Water resource and development of Sichuan

　　II. Sichuan hydropower development and investment policy

　　III. Sichuan Constructing and Planning Hydropower Projects

　　IV. Sichuan main rivers with much developed value

　　V. Sichuanhydropower industry development trend

　　Section 2 Analysis on Hydropower Development in Yunnan

　　I. Yunnan water resources and development situation

　　II. Yunnan hydropower development and investment policy

　　III. Yunnan Constructing and Planning Hydropower Projects

　　IV. Yunnan main rivers with much developed value

　　V. Yunnan hydropower industry development trend

　　Section 3 Analysis on Guizhou Hydropower Development

　　I. Guizhou water resources and development situation

　　II. Guizhou Constructing and Planning Hydropower Projects

　　III. Guizhou main rivers with much developed value

　　IV. Development trend of Guizhou hydropower industry

　　Section 4 Analysis on Guangxi Hydropower Development

　　I. Guangxi water resources and development situation

　　II. Guangxi hydropower development and investment policy

　　III. Guangxi Constructing and Planning Hydropower Projects

　　IV. Main rivers with much developed value in Guangxi

　　1. Xijiang river system

　　Section 5 Analysis on Hubei Hydropower Development

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